Reading a Times report from last year, this was an accident waiting to happen.
We shouldn't conjecture on his fate. For all we know, the reason he came rushing out of the bathroom stark naked was because he was late for his plane and he just bumped into the maid, and in his rush to the airport he lost his phone and papers. Perhaps.
Of course, he has no chance of getting elected as President now. Even if he isn't convicted, the fact that he stayed in a $3,000 a night suite should kill his Parti Socialiste credentials.